Shift Happens - Did You Know

if you have a few mins break then you may want to spend some time watching the following video which contains some interesting facts about population and technology in general. There is also a mention of Japan Telecom (NTT) in there too which I cover in todays Japan Optic Fiber Internet article.
Looks like in just a few decades, mankind will end (the matrix) ^^;
Original text from tintin-san below.
My lecturer for Computing and Society showed this video in class the other day.
It's about the exponential growth of technology and how it will affect us in the future.
I thought it was highly insightful, though-provoking and entertaining so sharing it here.
Do watch it ^^;
Shift Happens. Did You Know? Version 3.0
My favourite:
For students starting a 4 year technical degree, this means that...
half of what they learn in their first year of study will be outdated by their third year of study.
--> I didn't do well for my first semester ^^;
Otherwise, all the other facts were equally stunning and awe-inspiring.
Photo grabbed from http://www.change-ability.blogspot.com/
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free lance otaku, full time Protector of Peace.
it's surprising that they miss out stuffs about the environment. isn't that much more impt at this point of time?
student
i think they were more focused on the increase in technology and its effects, not the decline on environment stuff.
good video, i hope i dont get left behind.
大学生
yeah. There's An Inconvenient Truth for environment (:
http://akari-nyan.deviantart.com/
Apparently, there were some facts, that were false in that movie...
Self Employee NEET
http://www.nekoroid.com
It does happen. And soon It will come to me... I got the feeling but I hope I'm wrong XD
former Emperor of Britannia
http://reflectiarx.wordpress.com/
this post has left me in a state called "unable to speak" aka "Speechless".
Student
Indeed...
university student
http://comica23.deviantart.com
Very interesting~! X3
Otaku
http://general-noodles.mybrute.com
Badass!
Medic!
Interesting stuff to know of..... God knows we will be living with robots next time? 3D robots with anime face lol!
Otaku
http://general-noodles.mybrute.com
Hey! no more lonely nights!...remind me of hand maid May.
Mercenary
LOL, songs illegally downloaded during the presentaion.
大学生
That's very true.
I was reading today's papers (Singapore's Digital Life) and they got this report that last year, 95% of all music downloads online were illegal.
dannychoo.com の読者
haha, that was a funny part of the presentation.
nonetheless, i always make it a point to purchase an album of the artist of a song i download now that I am able to generate my own income.]
yikes i just let the cat out of the bag that i download...
Student
The money mostly goes to the record company and marketing etc. Is that realy helping the artist? PAying from live show helps them more. :)
Student (mad scientist in training)
Yeah, I heard that musicians reacted to piracy with more live concerts.
Undergraduate Otaku
Interesting to know!
And Tintin-san, this is Ruishen! I think we took Japanese 1 together ^_^.
大学生
Japanese 1 at NUS?
Undergraduate Otaku
Yup! If i were not wrong then we took it on sem 2 07/08.
Dance Trooper: DCX-001 O.D.E. (Order of the Dancing Empire)
http://dannychoo.com.my
So What Does It All Mean?
The Sword of Magus
http://daichouginga.blogspot.com/
Very true, so what does it all mean?
BioResearch Assistant
Very interesting. I learned about exponential growth before.
Some futurists believe this will lead to a technological singularity of sort, artificial intelligence being self aware, self sufficient, and exceeding human intelligence.
Who knows?
Anyways, the US prides itself in being number one. Currently we are #3 in population less than a third compared to India and China who are over 1 billion! Come on people! Start making babies! (>OO)> USA! USA!
No that's a terrible idea. Overpopulation is something that needs to be thought about a lot more.
BioResearch Assistant
(>OO)> It was meant to be humorous.
Student, Artist
Luckily the one thing humans can do that computers will never be able to do is think illogically. Of course, I wouldn't mind owning a Tachcoma ^_^
Student (mad scientist in training)
Computers wouldn't be spontaneous nor creative, maybe?
I'd LOVE to have a Tachikoma!
Student
Kind of scared me..no left me in awe at the human race :)
discovering gravity and some other stuff.
http://retrovsmass.blogspot.com
Yeah like WiseFreeman said. What does it all mean?
Does this mean all the stuff I'm learning at school is for 50% useless in my third year ToT lol?!?
Pseudo-Graphic Designer, 触手 wrangler, H-Man
http://lightningsabre.blogspot.com/
That may be, but right now my workplace is 10 years behind in software and hardware. I'm still using a PowerMac 9000 for my work... So with every new technology there will be some old technology that's still being used to this day.
bum,hachi roku driver
@EZU, not necessarily......just learn stuff and update constantly learning does not end with school.
Many interesting stats. Though most of it isn't very mind-blowing, considering the advancements in technology and how closely tied the world is today.
I think one important idea to take from this is that we must educate people more in the history of science and technology, otherwise I fear we will reach a point of over-dependency on technology that no one understands. And that is a dangerous spot to be in. Otherwise we'll see cults growing up around supercomputers, machines planning out people's fates, and other terrible ideas that may sound ludicrous to us, but could actually happen.
-1
http://necrophadian.blogspot.com/
"cults growing up around supercomputers" just sounds like all modern organized religions if ye ask me. but that's a topic for another day
Mad scientist
It's not any stranger than worshipping a nuclear bomb as a god and somebody already came up with that concept years ago. I don't think anybody have actually done that. I mean people who would get this idea usually don't have access to the bombs and I'm quite happy with that ^^
Sony Games Tester
Check out fallout! :D
Student
:Saving this: Educational video, thanks for the link:)
Otaku / Student in Networking
http://hayasaki-kun.blogspot.com/
O_O
pervert
that was amusing
"For students starting a 4 year technical degree, this means that...
half of what they learn in their first year of study will be outdated by their third year of study.
--> I didn't do well for my first semester ^^;"
lucky for me everything i learned in my first semester is crap and contains nothing i need to use in life
http://pantsukudasai.deviantart.com/
That's not necessarily true if you were taught the basics, since the basics will never change.
Certain information may be out-dated, but that doesn't make it useless for you to learn.
pervert
yea but i have no need for chemistry and physics in the future.its not like im going to build a gundam armed with a nuke
Mmmmmmmh you sure?
Associate Network Administrator
Great video! Kind of inspiring in a way.
Financial Specialist
http://xanadunet.wordpress.com/
taht was interesting, i'd like to have a computer that it better than the entire human race lol
Blogger, consultant
http://www.netharuka.com
Great video. I knew a lot of it, but it was still interesting to have them compiled and put together like that.
Technology does move fast, but that doesn't mean that everything runs on the latest and greatest. How many computers in the US still run Windows XP, Windows 2000 or even Windows 98? How many people have television sets over 10 years old in their homes? How many of you have a console they no longer make games for (and still play it)?
My point is that new technology is a n+1 to existing technology, not a complete replacement (at least not right away). People only adapt to the new stuff if it is clearly superior to what they have, is cheaper and easily adopted. Very few products fit those criteria. And there are more evolutionary dead ends than breakthroughs.
student
Psh, 10 year old TVs? Windows 2000? That's nothing, trust me.
The ISA (instruction set architecture) most of us are running, Intel's x86; first used in 1978. Many large banks use software written in the 60's because it's stable and they're afraid an upgrade may cause a crash.
Half Engineer, Half Student, All Robot
http://discombobulatedyouth.blogspot.com/
ISA improvements contributed greatly to initial growth in computing power. Most Intel processors have a microcode unit that adapts x86 to maintain backwards compatibility. We've pretty much hit a wall in terms of ISA improvement. Computer architecture improvement is reaching a plateau as well. Future improvements are going to rely a lot more on fabrication technologies.
bum,hachi roku driver
^ Agreed.
bum,hachi roku driver
^ Agreed.
university film student | ecchikid | the Archivist
http://www.vimeo.com/longhim
Brain implosion.
3D Artist
http://kypmbangi.deviantart.com
India can make moar babies!
student
I kind of wonder if these futurists have any idea about what goes on in the research for the computing industry. There are physical limitations to what we can come up with as far as computing goes. While I'm not saying progress is going to halt, some of the stuff there was just ridiculous.
Anime Store Owner, artist, Web master
http://www.chucksanimeshrine.com
As a former computer science major back between 2002 and 2006...yeah the stuff I learned in college is practically worthless now. Wish they told me that before the student loans were sent out ~_~
Student
http://otaku.lv
those were some interesting facts. best one was "if you live in China and youre one in a million, then tehre are 1,3K just like you" :D
Supreme Commander of NERV Co.
694,000 illegal songs downloaded. ^_^ That totally cracked me up! When they said something about a 4 year degree some of those things would be outdatd. Makes me wonder if I should continue dreaming of a computer engineer or something...?
College Student
A computer that it better than the entire human race, and soon after the computer will overthrow humanity, all hail Skynet!!!!
-1
http://necrophadian.blogspot.com/
I for one, welcome our new computronic overlords
NEET part-time - Technical Support Officer - Network security engineer
http://burugureibi.blogspot.com/
outdated degrees?
how true - my entire course that i just passed last semester is already outdated. Ver 4.0 of the CCNA course came out and most (if not all) things i learnt are outdated too.
hell, i think most of those stats we saw are now probably outdated too!
Half Engineer, Half Student, All Robot
http://discombobulatedyouth.blogspot.com/
CCNA...Reminds me of high school. Most of the things you learned are still going to be applicable for a while. For example, the network you are probably going to be administering is using IPv4. IPv6 is STILL seeing a slow deployment. Also, you're going to see slow deployment of new features in Cisco's IOS. So, yeah, the stuff you learned might be outdated, but it's still going to be the status quo for a while.
Student, Otaku, She-Geek(Sheek lol)
http://meimi132.wordpress.com/
Very cool. It does make ya think. Alot.
Writer
Much of the increased power of computing shown here was first stated by Intel co-founder Gorden Moore way back in 1965. Moore's Law states that number of transistors placed on a single integrated circuit doubles roughly every six months. This sort of exponential growth is sort of scary, mostly because we aren't used to thinking in such terms. The classic example is the frog pond problem: If the number of frogs in a pond doubles every day, and the pond becomes overpopulated after thirty days, when was the pond only half full of frogs? The answer is surprising if you haven't carefully thought it out: Twenty-nine days. The point is that with this sort of growth, change can happen blindingly fast. Change itself is not bad, but I sometimes wonder about the growing feelings of personal isolation when confronted by this tsunami of information.
a guy who cares (sort of...)
I believe it was every 18-24 not 6 months and yeah... Moore's law is probably obsolete by now.
Half Engineer, Half Student, All Robot
http://discombobulatedyouth.blogspot.com/
I think the current trend is actually following the curve quite closely. Unfortunately, the increased transistor count also means more power consumption. Our energy consumption is going to put an end to Moore's Law.
Writer
Oops! You are right! Thanks for catching the mistake -- it is closer to two years. I note there is an interesting side-light to all this -- sort of off the original topic. Moore's Law does have a limit based on the nature of current semiconductor materials. When Jan Schon (I think at Bell Labs?) announced he had discovered that a certain type of organic dye could be used in place of silicon (And thus opening the way for huge advances) it created quite a stir. A shame he faked all his data. I wonder what such an invention would be worth these days?
As for Moore's Law, as near as I can figure out from a quick Google search, it still seems to be in agreement with reality.
faster faster faster...
Pseudo-Graphic Designer, 触手 wrangler, H-Man
http://lightningsabre.blogspot.com/
The 31 billion Google searches interests me a lot there... especially comparing to tenrou's post: http://www.dannychoo.com/detail/mac/eng/image/12918/Google+and+the+Environment.html
Which means there are about 31 million(or more) kilograms of CO2 produced in the year 2008 just from Google searches. Very interesting...
Lazyman Extraordinaire
http://theeternalcube.blogspot.com/
The Singularity is coming!!!!!!
When I grow up, Im going to be a Jupiter brain. ^^
-1
http://necrophadian.blogspot.com/
why not go for broke and be a Matrioshka brain.
http://super-ultra.com
I'm not so sure if I can just trust all these facts coming from an internet video.
Injured
Cool video.
Working for the Man
http://www.myspace.com/jesusmadrid
yeah that was very informative, entertaining and definitely mind boggling. I just totally appreciate the internet and my "connectivity" to a lot of things. As much as I love my iphone I love going to the gym too. I dont know why people freak out when they cant contact you RIGHT NOW, over the most trivial things. It also drives me up the wall when i AM in the gym and people are on their phone talking and taking up equipment. It feels like as devices and technology start catching up with our lives, its like were slowly building a "bubble" around ourselves and it might become more difficult to contact each other directly.
anyone else bothered by someone when your talking to them face to face and theyre on the phone texting? that drives me UP THE WALL!
sorry about the soapbox. anyone else agree with me on my whole "bubble" theory?
Limousine Driver
A friend sent this to me a while ago. Blows my mind every time i see it. I agree. Your "Bubble" theory is spot on. The more Tech the less human contact. My niece will text her friend all day and never make a phone call to speak to her let alone visit.
♦College Student♦
That's pretty cool, the fact that by some people's 3rd semester they'll have outdated information >: kinda scary. But it's sort of like how doctors have to read new books and discoveries so that they can be informed about new things, students will just have to do the same.
-1
http://necrophadian.blogspot.com/
China and India sure are busy huh?
College Student
And in the immortal words of Duff Man oooooh yeah
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gqU_0xpILIU
bum,hachi roku driver
^ Lol me likey video.
Thanks for posting this..
Half Engineer, Half Student, All Robot
http://discombobulatedyouth.blogspot.com/
Did I read this correctly? Ranking for broadband internet penetration. #19 United States. #22 Japan. Uh...wait...what?
Half Engineer, Half Student, All Robot
http://discombobulatedyouth.blogspot.com/
There might be some fallacies in this video. The Internet, then ARPAnet, was around since like the 1950's. Market audience was defense and academia. It only became popular around the 90's, where the market audience finally shifted to everyday people. That's 40 years! I'm pretty sure it's not 4 years. Plus, a lot of old technology is still in use today. For instance, vacuum tubes are still used in amplifiers! BJTs are also still used, given it has declined. Change doesn't happen as fast as this video may make it seem.
College Freshmen
No I didn't know.
三年せいとオタク
I didn't know any of that but it also means that when I'm im college studying to become a computer enginner everything I learn will become otuadted :'s
高1学生 (工学・科学)
http://nurinamo.comli.com/
I didn't know, but I doubt film and arts will change as quickly as other areas.
Student
http://anime.scripts.mit.edu/miteiru/
I find this stuff very fascinating!! Many technological developments are so exciting! Of course there's many ethical issues that either have or will arise soon but I think that this is great! Of course textbooks will change, but that's a part of history. I love it when new discoveries are made that change history. It's simply wonderful.
Interesting~~
University Student
http://rosencruez.sheezyart.com
I already felt that everything I learned in first year software engineering was already obsolete. xD
Programmer
Nice choice of music theme: "right here, right now"...
Nice video, scary but real. ^^
Student
http://www.lesterho.com
Interesting and it does make sense. Back when I was still learning coding during high school, it was still used until now it's outdated and I think not many people are still into old coding anymore. This doesn't apply to me as well but my dad used to study computer science during his university time and he told me that what he learned back is already outdated and not used in today's world technology anymore.
Technology are growing faster than we have realized from the time that the thing is release from market or announced on public. It's quite scary but still the true fact.
Programmer
http://benohki.blogspot.com
Fear not - don't let the video mislead you. It's important to understand that despite the fact that information is indeed increasing, it simply means the information you study will not cover as much new information is being generated. That is: you will never catch up and you will never know everything.
HOWEVER: this is not the same as what you know being useless. Far from it. The challenge is applying the knowledge you have learned.
My favourite example (and I tell this too all students): I complained to my faculty when was in university that the COBOL programming course was not being offered. They kept delaying it - sometimes even telling me, "it's an old language, why do you want to learn it? We are offering Java next semester!"
Well guess what is the language still in use in many legacy systems? If you guessed COBOL, then you win... nothing. I code COBOL for a living and I make pretty good money. I have a long-term contract with the federal government (10 years and counting). So knowing COBOL maybe out-of-date knowledge, but it is never "useless" knowledge.
College Student
I'm fine with the mention of past statistics, but predictions for the future in this seem like sensationalist bull. We'll push the physical limits of our materials and architecture before we push the limits of our expected technologies.
High School Student
I remember seeing a similar, although not as visually pleasing. I think I sat up all night thinking about it.
Delivery Driver | Semi-student
http://www.soulfringe.com/
Does the phrase "internet penetration" make anyone else giggle as much as I do ?
三年せいとオタク
It makes me giggle too then again I can make almost anything sound dirty in my head >>
流浪人
Shift Happens homepage...
http://shifthappens.wikispaces.com/
student
wow kind of scary.. made me think about my life :x
???Confused???
So the stuff I learned in college was be obsolete BEFORE I got out, if they keep changing then we'd be stuck in school forever or drop out...
流浪人
If I do a full 20 years as an Air Force officer, I can expect to earn at least three Master's degrees... ^^;
So, you may be stuck in school, forever... ^^;;;
University's Slave
. . . wow. My brain kind of melted when they went over the amount of information generated in 2008 and what they think a desktop in 2049 will be capable of.
I'm not surprised by the 4-year degree thing though. Yeah, I'm looking at YOU, Adobe!
anime, programmer, gfx designer, illustrator ^^
http://denkikoiji.com
^^ i saw this video b4 ^^ it was couple years ago though ^^ not bad but allot of it has increased already lol ^^
The Sword of Magus
http://daichouginga.blogspot.com/
Very very very interesting video that made me comment. Truly both awe inspiring and stunning at the same time(and kinda creepy for me too). Globalization concept is very evident at the technology part. Hmm... it makes me wanna live into the mountains after I read all of that, lol.
none
I was kinda scared while watching.
to much information.
Com. Sci. Student
wow technology will surpass us human species >,<
very interesting indeed....
College Student | Novice Figure Collector ★彡
http://myfigurecollection.net/profile/neo_valkyrie
I just noticed you like using this smiley "^^;". I see it everywhere! :o
anime/cosplay events organizer
http://www.cosplay.ph
i love the last line about music piracy XDDD
Graphic Arts Student
Wow, it really does happen. O_O
I think my brain had a small seizure from all the shocking info.
http://akari-nyan.deviantart.com/
"By 2013, a supercomputer will be built that exceeds the computational capabilities of the human brain" That was slightly frightening..>w<'' [as well as the statement after that]
Other than that, that was quite the cool video!
浦の引き篭り
http://img98.imageshack.us/img98/3219/haruhimemew.gif
My favourite part is when it says that in 2013 there will be built a computer that will overcome the human brain O_o
That would be quite awesome,right?
Nekophilia
I suddenly feel demotivated from studying. LOL
Engineering research
http://kikenshisou.wordpress.com
Some of you pointed out that silicon based devices is nearing its lifetime; i agree. But i'm also confident that we'll get around the problem, aka quantum computing. Something Moore didn't foresee and who could blame him? ^^
Student
if they did have that computer of a human brain, would it have emotions and such, and would u be able to input this computational ai into ero game character? D:
Student
http://yakisobacup.wordpress.com
At this rate we are going to become some kind of superhuman, with all this power.
vendor
http://www.friendster.com
The world is changing the environment,technology and the things we do from day and tomorrow.The time is running,the human and machines are changes too. what does it mean to us?? I wish this is not an end of the world or something?
Student
I wonder why so many are surprised by the pace of technology these days. I do not take higher education to learn of specific pieces of technology, I'm taking it to get an overview and a foundation to use in the years to come. You should not learn a specific implementation just to learn it, but instead you should "learn to learn", so that you can use what you know and apply it to other problems and situations. Use your mind in a "creative" way.
Most of the stuff I've been taught up till now mostly dates 10+ years back. It is the foundation I can use to understand the current technology and the current development better.
With regards to the video, when you think about it for a second, most of it sound quite plausible. It only seems amazing if you've never though along those lines before. For instance the expression "One in a million". Wouldn't be surprised if this dates back to when there weren't so many people around. We need to change that to "One in seven billion" or what seems to be the correct population on earth at the moment.
Student artist
http://www.requestview.wordpress.com
Hmmm seems interesting
Student
http://konadora.wordpress.com
Wow amazing facts, especially the 'illegally downloaded music' part. 680,000 musics in 5 mins? Simply wow.
One of the best 'fact' info video I've seen so far. Hope NTT's technology gets available to everyone soon ^^; Imagine all the high quality videos I could stream with that XD
Student, Uncle & hopfully a good husband..
Wow...So much info..Getting left behind is the worse thing that could happen...
Student
http://yakisobacup.wordpress.com
I thought a cool title instead of shift happens is "shit happens". After all, with such shocking revelations, shit hits the people.
College student, Mech programmer and striving photographer.
http://moeforme.blogspot.com
Godly computers and babies just made me O_O at the screen while watching the video.
Man, this is kind of scary actually, and kind of intimidating...It looks like we'll be living our sci-fi movies around 2030-2050. We already brought a lot of Star Trek's technology to life.
Student during the day, otaku at night, and amateur musician ^_^
http://www.thebanzaieffect.com/
Cool.
And scary at the same time..
I bet that as time goes by, the video will be updated with even scarier facts..
銀河帝国五〇一軍团 TK/TD 8316 M.E.P.D. Police Sergeant
http://gordonator.com/
technology are bringing people closer yet isolating us as well.
IT Expert / System, Network, Security Administrator
http://www.digitalanime.com.br
Nice video, but keep in mind around 90% of information available today on Internet is trash, worthless, racism, ignorance, violence, pornography, etc.
Actor, Moviemaker and Blogger.
http://sitedofonseca.blogspot.com
Hi fellow brazilian!
Actor, Moviemaker and Blogger.
http://sitedofonseca.blogspot.com
OMG...
http://www.rxsiu.wordpress.com
Wow, very cool.
MS pilot
itz pretty interesting tho you wonder if all of those facts are really true or just made up
Student!
http://zh3us.wordpress.com/
im in year of a a certain polytechnic and im learning abt IDE connections when i can use SATA ...
outdated-ness is really there...
Daigakusei [Consular and Diplomatic Affairs]
http://dixinfernal.wordpress.com
wow~ that's some information to think about~~~
shift really do happens^^
For 8 weeks im a NEET
that was great.
Software Developer
http://www.reallycuteasians.net
Great video, thanks for sharing ^^
Student
http://hana-bix.livejournal.com/
Oh my.
I watched this in my class, and the facts still amaze me
Student
Great video!
i'm studying abroad in india, and the fact about 25% of them are genius in india is quite true, cuz in my class .... most of them are too smart, distinction all the way.